Financial Markets

US Factory PMI Slips to 54.6 as High Input Costs Keep the Fed's Inflation Problem Alive

US manufacturing PMI fell to 54.6 percent in August, while an elevated 71.1 percent Prices Index signaled persistent factory input-cost pressure.

US Factory PMI Slips to 54.6 as High Input Costs Keep the Fed's Inflation Problem Alive

U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for an eighth straight month in August, but the ISM Manufacturing PMI slipped to 54.6 percent from 55.6 percent in July, a decrease of 1 percentage point. The slower headline reading came as the Prices Index held at 71.1 percent, leaving evidence of sustained raw-material cost pressure even as factory growth cooled.

Data Snapshot

MetricCurrentPreviousChangePeriodAs ofSource
ISM Manufacturing PMI54.6 percent55.6 percenta decrease of 1 percentage pointAugust 2026 versus July 2026September 1, 2026Institute for Supply Management
New Orders Index53.7 percent56.7 percentdown 3 percentage pointsAugust 2026 versus July 2026September 1, 2026Institute for Supply Management
Prices Index71.1 percent71.1 percentthe same reading as JulyAugust 2026 versus July 2026September 1, 2026Institute for Supply Management
Supplier Deliveries Index59.3 percent58.9 percentup 0.4 percentage pointAugust 2026 versus July 2026September 1, 2026Institute for Supply Management
Employment Index51.2 percent52.8 percentdown 1.6 percentage pointsAugust 2026 versus July 2026September 1, 2026Institute for Supply Management

August PMI falls as new orders and employment cool

The August PMI reading marked the sector’s eighth consecutive month of expansion, while ISM said the broader economy continued expanding for the 22nd consecutive month based on the manufacturing reading. New orders also remained in expansion for an eighth consecutive month, although the New Orders Index fell to 53.7 percent in August from 56.7 percent in July, a decline of 3 percentage points. The Employment Index fell to 51.2 percent from 52.8 percent, down 1.6 percentage points.

Prices Index holds at 71.1 percent as deliveries slow

Raw-material prices increased for the 23rd straight month, according to ISM, which cited steel, aluminum, tariffs and petroleum-based products as drivers. The Prices Index itself held at 71.1 percent in August, unchanged from July.

Deliveries moved in the opposite direction: the Supplier Deliveries Index rose 0.4 percentage point, to 59.3 percent from 58.9 percent. ISM says readings above 50 percent indicate slower deliveries.

With both the headline Manufacturing PMI and New Orders Index down from July, the data show continuing pressure in manufacturing supply chains despite the unchanged Prices Index reading.

Factory input prices and PCE measure different things

The ISM Prices Index is a diffusion measure tracking changes in raw-material prices among manufacturing respondents, rather than a 12-month measure of prices paid by consumers. It therefore cannot be directly compared with the Federal Reserve’s personal consumption expenditures, or PCE, inflation gauge.

Still, the survey arrives against an inflation backdrop that remains above the Federal Open Market Committee’s target. The Federal Reserve reported that PCE inflation rose 4.1 percent over the 12 months ending in May 2026, above the FOMC’s 2 percent target.

Investment Disclaimer

Share this story

X LinkedIn

Related Stories