Bitcoin Recovers Following the Weekend's Bloodbath: BTC Long-Term Outlook

After a turbulent week, Bitcoin has begun to recover as geopolitical tensions eased. On October 12, U.S. President Trump reversed his previously harsh rhetoric on China. The conciliatory tone came just two days after his 100% tariff threat sent shockwaves through global markets, triggering a 13.7% Bitcoin crash on October 10.

Trump’s pivot helped calm fears of a full-blown trade war. Equities stabilized — the S&P 500 rose 0.8% — and risk sentiment gradually improved. For Bitcoin, the shift reignited its narrative as a macro hedge: when geopolitical anxiety spikes, investors look to BTC for protection. ETF inflows, which had dipped amid the selloff, began to rebound as institutional confidence returned.

The key question now is whether Bitcoin can maintain momentum. A sustained close above $116,100, a critical resistance level, would mark a confirmed reversal in trend.

Technical Recovery: Mixed But Promising

Source: coinmarketcap 

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s rebound has been constructive, though not yet decisive. The price bounced off the $105,000 support — a key psychological and structural floor — and is now testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $114,600. The 14-day RSI climbed to 47.34, signaling a recovery from oversold conditions and a return to neutral momentum.

However, technical indicators remain mixed. The MACD histogram sits at -764.53, showing that bearish pressure still lingers. Short-term traders have seized the opportunity to capitalize on the oversold bounce, but for a true shift in sentiment, Bitcoin must break through $116,100, which would open the door toward the 100-period SMA at $117,300. Failure to do so could see BTC retest $112,700 as buyers take profits.

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Outset PR Notices Media Trends Ahead of the Crowd

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BTC Outlook: Cautious Optimism Ahead

Bitcoin’s rebound reflects a confluence of factors — easing geopolitical risk, opportunistic technical buying, and renewed institutional interest. While these elements support a bullish near-term trajectory, the resistance at $116,100 remains a key inflection point.

Additionally, open interest jumped 15% in the past 24 hours, suggesting increased leverage. Such conditions often amplify volatility in both directions. If BTC can hold above $114,600 (the 38.2% Fibonacci) and convert resistance into support, a stronger recovery could unfold. Otherwise, profit-taking could push the price back toward $112,700 or lower.

Bottom line

Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain intact, and the macro backdrop has turned less hostile. However, until the market confirms a breakout above $116,100, the recovery remains tentative — a balancing act between optimism and caution.

Outset PR translates Web3 project momentum into measurable results by blending technical insight with media precision. We deliver data-backed campaigns that resonate with the market, whether you're launching, scaling, or repositioning.

You can find more information about Outset PR here:

Website: outsetpr.io

Telegram: t.me/outsetpr 

X: x.com/OutsetPR 

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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