Prediction Market Volume Falls 14.5% to $45.33B in August, Ending a Year of Monthly Growth
Prediction-market volume at Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US fell 14.5% to $45.33 billion in August, ending a year of monthly growth.
Author
Stories by Marcus Vale
Marcus Vale covers global financial markets, including stocks, commodities, currencies, and major economic developments. His reporting examines the forces driving market sentiment, from central bank decisions and corporate earnings to inflation, geopolitical risk, and shifts in investor positioning.
84 stories
Latest stories
Put-Call Ratio Explained: How Options Positioning Measures Fear and Complacency
The put-call ratio divides traded puts by calls, offering a useful but imperfect view of hedging, bearish positioning and market complacency.
Equity Risk Premium Explained: When Stocks Become Expensive Relative to Bonds
The equity risk premium measures expected stock returns over bonds. See how a narrow earnings-yield spread can make equities look expensive.
ISM Manufacturing PMI Explained: How New Orders, Prices and Employment Move Markets
ISM Manufacturing PMI combines five diffusion indexes to show factory breadth. See how New Orders, Prices and Employment shape the market read.
JOLTS Job Openings Explained: Why This Labor Market Report Moves the Fed, Dollar and Stocks
JOLTS tracks U.S. job openings, hiring and separations, offering investors a closely watched view of labor demand and possible Fed policy shifts.
Breakeven Inflation Rate: How Bond Markets Measure Future Inflation Expectations
Breakeven inflation compares Treasury and TIPS yields to show implied inflation compensation, while accounting for key limits in the signal.
Treasury Term Premium: What It Is and Why Rising Term Premiums Pressure Stocks and Bonds
Treasury term premium is compensation for holding long bonds rather than rolling short-term debt. See how it can raise yields and pressure assets.
Treasury Term Premium: What It Is and Why Rising Term Premiums Pressure Stocks and Bonds
Treasury term premium is the extra return for holding long-term bonds. See how it lifts yields and affects bond prices and stock valuations.
Advance-Decline Line: A Market Breadth Tool for Testing Stock Rallies
The Advance-Decline Line tracks net advancing and declining stocks over time, helping investors assess whether an index rally has broad support.
Credit Spreads: How High-Yield Debt Can Signal Market Stress Before Stocks Do
High-yield credit spreads show the extra yield demanded for risky corporate debt and can reveal market stress before defaults or equity declines.